RE: US Presidential Election 2024: Will There Be Fraud?
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I think there's a little bias here, Sir! Showing a list of donors that doesn't include private donors or donations to and from Political Action Groups renders the data displayed beyond useless in any impartial debate. There is no Meta, nor Musk and/or X on that list.
You also suggest that Google are able to negatively affect Trump's chances because of their huge donation but yet, happily praise the Polymarket data being pushed by known Trump supporter, Musk through his own social media company.
Also no mention of possible Russian interference, who if the news were to be believed, interfere in every country's elections and they of course would want Trump to win.
It's moderately interesting to watch from afar and look at the huge number of permutations of future world events caused by the result but if I'm honest, I don't care enough. None of them are likeable nor appear honest and as usual, it's all about the size of wallets.
Thank you for always being a great read.
I hope you're having a good weekend and best wishes as always to you and your loved ones
Polymarket would be really useful if the polls were reliable. There has been considerable fluctuation in their predicted probability. Just four days ago, they gave Trump a 68% chance of winning. Now, they are only giving him a 56% chance. It could easily fall to 50% by election day.
Elon is only sharing data when it favours Trump. I'm sure his aim is to build up the expectations of Trump's base. If Trump loses, which I strongly believe will be the outcome, they're going to be very upset. I doubt they will need any convincing that the election was rigged.
It is highly unlikely Russia would interfere. Trump would help them get a peace deal with Ukraine, but Trump is less favourable to Iran and China. Russia has other means of dealing with their opponents.