Chancellor on the Brink

avatar

chancellorbrinkbailoutbanks.png

of Fourth Bailout

That's right ladies and gentlemen.
A third bank has been claimed in this bank run.

Is anyone noticing a pattern yet?

  • 4th largest US bank to collapse in history.
  • 3rd largest US bank to collapse in history.
  • 2nd largest US bank to collapse in history.

Signature bank is no more.

Signature's failure followed Silicon Valley Bank's Friday shutdown, the second largest in U.S. history behind Washington Mutual, which collapsed during the 2008 financial crisis.

Such 2008 vibes.

The FDIC established a "bridge" successor bank on Sunday which will enable customers to access their funds on Monday. Signature Bank's depositors and borrowers will automatically become customers of the bridge bank, the FDIC said.

As of September, almost a quarter of its deposits came from the cryptocurrency sector, but the bank announced in December that it would shrink its crypto-related deposits by $8 billion.

https://twitter.com/DanDarkPill/status/1635093537036578816

image.png

I know what will fix this problem: more debt!

lol! Okay so these banks are being backstopped and the gubment is trying their damnedest to stop this contagion from spreading. Good luck, gubment. I wish you well on your journey.

Does anyone think it's hilarious that the "answer" to liquidity problems is to give banks access to bad loans so they don't go insolvent? Cracks me up every time.

pivotfedpowelhawkish.png

THE FED IS BACKED INTO A CORNER

Last week Powell was as hawkish as ever. This week all that shit is going right out the window. The FED is finally backed into a corner of their own making. They cannot allow this contagion to spread. Many players in the industry are already making calls of a 0 point rate hike during the next meeting in three days.

It will be VERY interesting to see how this next FOMC meeting goes down. The market signals blood in the water for bulls on many metrics. I don't need to remind anyone that if the FED pauses in 3 days there is going to be wild speculation in risk-on markets with more pumps to follow.

When we take into account that FED rake hikes take 9 months to a year to actually cycle throughout the economy we can clearly see that more than half of the current hikes have not been realized yet. Six months ago the fund rate was half the number it is today. Not only can the FED not afford to hike more at this juncture, but the hikes they've already done are not sustainable in the least bit. The war on "inflation" has been lost. Too bad so sad... time to turn the money printer back on.

image.png

I cannot believe how well I called this.

We crashed down to EXACTLY the 2017 ATH at $19500 and hard bounced off of it. It's exactly what I said would happen since January. Seriously insane.

March is looking like it's going to end up like the V-shaped recoveries that we've seen in 2018, 2020, and 2022

LOL I wrote that on March 10th

Is this V-shaped enough for you?
Crazy times.

We can also see that once again like clockwork the MA(25) death-crossing under the MA(50) results in a pump. We'll probably need to expect a pullback eventually but my guess is that pullback confirms the $23k support line that has been forging for a while now. And let's not forget that this is all happening during the bullish full moon cycle (which ends March 21).

Goddess Moon signals that we have another week to go before we worry about a major pullback; again I'm thinking something like $25k to $23k before we can finally break that pesky $25k resistance line. But it could even crazier at this point like $30k to $25k if this momentum doesn't break. A move like that would actually be worth betting on in a week's time.

This situation is the exact reason why Bitcoin was created.

Imagine talking to yourself 5 years ago and trying to explain how bearish everyone is because the economy is doing poorly and the banks are being bailed out. IT'S IN THE BITCOIN GENESIS BLOCK: CHANCELLOR ON THE BRINK OF 2ND BAILOUT!

lol... this is the best thing to happen for Bitcoin in quite some time and people are drowning in fear like they always do. Actually it kind of reminds me of the Steem hostile takeover... man that sucked when it was happening but we came out smelling like roses, didn't we?

https://twitter.com/Pacemak3r/status/1634726014759710720

All of the depositors of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank will be made whole, and "no losses will be borne by the taxpayer," the U.S. Treasury Department and other bank regulators said in a joint statement.

"No losses will be borne by the taxpayer."

lol good one. Have you noticed that not only are we not in a recession, but also these are not bank bailouts and the burden will not be put onto the citizens? Comical. I can't believe they can so easily get away with saying shit like this. Empire in decline confirmed.

"This is crypto's fault."

We'll notice that the collapse of both Signature bank and Silvergate was pegged on crypto. And yet neither of these banks actually held any crypto. Yeah, they are lying. No surprises there. The SVB collapse proves once again that ALL BANK RUNS are catalyzed by fear and a loss of trust in fractional reserve banking. These banks didn't go under because they had exposure to crypto; they went under because people wanted their money back and they didn't have it. Simple as that.

It has been known well in advance that all stable coins in crypto need to have massive amount of liquidity available in case the market gets volatile. While everyone was making a big deal about Bitfinex maybe not having ONE HUNDRED PERCENT of their reserves at a bank in the form of USD, I've always been quick to point out that having 100% reserves in a bank is a stupid way to do business within the cryptoverse. Just because it's 100% pegged to dollars in a bank doesn't mean those dollars are actually available. Finally we get a taste of vindication on that front.

That being said of course USDC and DAI and BUSD have all regained their peg now that the banks have opened this Monday. Doesn't really matter because all the systemic risks that we just watch play out are still lingering in the background waiting to strike. Once again HBD proves that a 100% algo stable coin with high yields and death-spiral protection is the way to go. So so bullish on Hive right now it's not even funny.

Conclusion

There is so much more to be said on this topic but honestly I don't even know where to begin. This entire post is just a haphazard rant to get all the info out there as fast as possible. The fallout from this banking crisis is going to be a thing of legend, and the FED meeting is in three days. Be prepared for more fuckery.

image.png

lol

In the time it took me to write this BTC is up another $1000

image.png

WILD

Another thing I forgot to mention is that I bet my USD withdrawals from Coinbase to my credit union are going to be very slow now. They used to process within 1 business day. I have yet to see what the wait times are like now. Has anyone tested this?

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta



0
0
0.000
21 comments
avatar

6688121C-BE60-4579-953F-B4ED1E83F7E0.jpeg

My 401(k) has done quite well this morning. 😁

I wish I could have some $HIVE or HBD in there, but crypto equities will have to do. Don’t need to withdraw for several years.

0
0
0.000
avatar

"...FED rake hikes..."

Perhaps my favorite typo evar.

Perhaps I should bow to the moon goddess and acknowledge the superiority of TA to attempting to actually understand investments.

I think I will not, and maintain my certainty regarding my fallibility instead. In times like this I double down on my dependence on the good people I serve, and who provide services to me in turn. In that market there is no inflation, fractional reserves to deplete, nor externals.

Thanks!

0
0
0.000
avatar

You know I reread that typo like 2 or 3 times thinking it looked wrong and then concluded that it was fine. lol

0
0
0.000
avatar

One aspect to all this is also that the the "Financial Stability Oversight" Council was more concerned about (among others) climate change (which they had identified as "key threat"!), then about portfolio losses and declining deposits.
src
So finally a backlash to wokeness in Finance!

0
0
0.000
avatar

I have been thinking ahead of what to do when it comes to take profit and dont want to be on cash and HBD looks like a great option although I still not sure that I know how it works overall, but the fact that its not control by anyone gives me more hope than any of those USD pegged tokens, I still believe we are close to the bottom than the top and market cycle is on track despite the economy "problems"

0
0
0.000
avatar

Do you feel that credit unions are the better way to go? Is your CU federally insured? I moved all of my finances out of the big banks a couple years ago and put them in a local credit union. It made a lot more sense to me at the time and feels like the smarter move now. I had some USDC that I have been DCA'ing each month on Coinbase. Before that dropped down to $.90 I moved it into BTC. Now with the price of BTC being up, I am doing pretty well.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
avatar

I have only banked with a single credit union my entire life and it's been a completely painless experience the entire time. But also I keep very little in my savings/checking accounts. Even if my entire account blew up I wouldn't be to worried about it.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Sounds like you have a good handle on things. I wish I had switched everything over to my credit union sooner.

0
0
0.000
avatar

I kept reading "backstopped" as "backstabbed" 😆

0
0
0.000
avatar

I was there with you sir...

1.png

2.png

Funny how plebs end up selling their bitcorn at the worst time... It almost feels like someone is intentionally creating these crisis so "he/the" can scoop up more cheap bitcorn...

0
0
0.000
avatar

Yeah when a wave of FUD comes in that hard and that fast all at the same time during a critical moment its pretty sus.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Well, if there wasn't any bailouts, banks would be stronger better places to put money in. I mean, would YOU let your financial institution do risky practices if your very financial future relied on its success. I say let them fall into non existence. The rest will grow wiser for it.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Tough love, sure.

Unfortunately that's not how this scam works :D

0
0
0.000
avatar

Back in 2008 I had basic cable and was watching a lot of CSNBC to try and understand the mess that was going down. Now I'm just like ...another day at the circus.
!BEER

0
0
0.000
avatar

I've been saying it for years too, it's only a matter of time until the next crash.

What I've particularly enjoyed about the various 'covid recovery programmes' and in Britain's case also the recovery from Liz Truss and Brexit is that they're based on the premise of 5-10 years of stable economic growth.

The chances of there NOT being a crises in that period are, well It's never 0 (there's a small chance that Earth might be destroyed suddenly) but pretty damned close to 0.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Thanks for a thought provoking article. The cost of interbank borrowing has risen to the same level as in the Covid crash of 2020. The Fed created inflation and now is reaping what it sowed. The stocks of various regional banks crashed hard yesterday and trading had to be halted in several. It also appears that that many depositors of regional banks are sending their money to the too big to fail behemoths of Wall Street. Gotta be safe there? Lol

0
0
0.000