10M CUB Supplied
CUB has been around for about a year.
If memory serves we launched in March...
March 8th Confirmed
Within that time it's been a wild ride. Token all time high quickly spiked to $13, and today we sit at all time lows at 24 cents. Such is the life of a hyperinflationary token.
A much better technical analysis metric for CUB is the market cap.
CUB has had an extremely consistent market cap range, with $5M MC sparking heavy resistance and $2M MC marking massive support. Basically anyone that's been buying at $2M MC and then selling at $5M MC has made a mint at this point. Currently with 10.3M tokens in circulation, the MC sits at $2.47M, so we can basically assume that the ultimate floor for CUB is around 20 cents per token at this point, assuming no growth has occurred since our last bottom.
The DEGENS
Leofinance has a very zealous userbase. Even though CUB has bled this entire time, there are still degenerates in the Kingdom's Den longing the price of CUB without putting their tokens for sale in the liquidity pools. In fact, with $1,493,725 in the Den right now, that means slightly over 60% of all CUB in circulation is going long at the moment. Even after a 98% loss in token valuation over the last year, them CUB degens are still hodling strong. Quite impressive really.
Not Khal's fault degens are degens.
Seriously though, think about it. It's not good that 60% of all the CUB is in the Den. If that value had been providing liquidity this entire time, CUB would probably have a higher price right now. Cramping the DEN and competing with everyone else for such low yields is akin to going extremely long. The only way to make money in the DEN when comparing the yields offered if for the price of CUB to go up significantly over time.
Essentially what has happened here is that 60% of the network went long, and then the shorts won and token price crashed hard. Had the diehard members of this community been supporting the liquidity pools instead of getting wrecked in the Den they'd have a bigger stake in the network today, and the network would be stronger because of that fact.
Instead what we see is LP providers doing what LP providers do best, which is compound yield or exit the platform entirely with their farm. Because there are so many degens in the DEN and yields on the LP are so high with liquidity being lower, that makes the slow bleed of hyperinflation even worse over time. Or maybe it doesn't... like I said our market cap has bounced between a very consistent range. Value has not been exiting the system on the average.
Idealistically, the yield on the Den should be very close to the liquidity pools themselves. Rather than 60% of all CUB being in the DEN, it should be more like 30%, which, in turn, would drop the yields on the CUB/BUSD and CUB/BNB LPs a bit, and everything would be around a 70% APR. Instead, everyone is piled into the DEN, expecting exponential growth, constantly asking Khal 'wen'.
WEN!?!
So we've been waiting for the pCUB launch and the next IDO to drop for quite some time. In fact I recall being promised like three IDOs in October, and we have gotten... zero in three months... and no updates on any of them except for one, which ended up being very vague. Such is the life of a developer. The unknown unknowns will always get you.
Khal wants to play the hero.
Everyone wants to be a superhero these days, most of all token builders. We're all looking to create economic systems that will fix the broken garbage of an economy we see today. Imagine building a token and having the price drop from $13 to 24 cents with the community complaining the entire time. Yikes, not fun!
So pCUB is going to be deflationary...
Which makes a lot of sense in the context of what just happened with CUB. Nobody likes these slow bleeds and massive hyperinflationary diluted pools... except me of course. I think they're awesome, but that's beside the point. pCUB will be deflationary, which is fine. Should be a nice experiment, but I get the feeling it will be even more volatile than CUB was. After all, it's a new project, and it has a halving event every month. Obviously most assume this will lead to a higher token price and more network growth. I guess we'll find out, eh?
I still have a lot of faith in CUB.
Even after reaching a new all time low during the current correction, reaching this 10M token point is quite the milestone. Think about it: we went from 0 CUB in circulation to 10M, that's an increase of infinity percent. Talk about hyperinflation.
However, now that CUB has been up and running for a while, the inflation is still linear. The next year going forward is only going to mint another 10M tokens. Going from 10M to 20M is a lot easier than going from 0 to 10M. At worst, the token price of CUB loses 50% over the next year from token dilution instead of 98%. Big upgrade, and that would assume zero growth over the next year, which is highly unlikely. I think at worst token price would be 25 cents in a year's time, but obviously the degens are targeting much crazier numbers than this. All I can say is that you can't go wrong in the LPs, even if it stings when the price goes up and all your CUB in the LP is getting automatically sold off at a loss.
CUB and pCUB are mutually exclusive.
Many people ask why we would create two different tokens on two different platforms that do the same thing. Ah well... they don't do the same thing at all so, don't worry about that. pCUB is doing all kinds of new up-and-coming DEFI stuff and is deflationary. It's not like we are going to launch IDOs on pCUB to reduce the supply; the supply of pCUB doesn't need to be reduced. The tokens might have similar names and branding but they perform completely different functions within the ecosystem.
Some of these functions, like bonding, will be applied to both platforms because there is no reason not to. That's the beauty of EVM chains: build something once and it can be easily forked to any other EVM network. The work done on pCUB helps CUB, and the work done on CUB helps pCUB. No need to get hung up on the naming being similar. They could have been completely different brands, but this is the path that has been chosen.
Conclusion
Soon™
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I agree that the CUB den doesn't make much sense or at least should be toned down a little in terms of output rewards and instead put into something else like cake. If more people piled into the other dens which take other tokens and buy some of the cub with those earned pool rewards/fees to burn cub it would be sitting much better off.
I have to say I'm not a fan of the soon mentality or the talking about something and hyping it up and we don't get any kind of real update for 3 months. Or IDOs that never happen. It's a bad tract record. The delivery in both message and turn around needs to improve on these in a major way. That's not to trash talk anyone it's just the general feel from the public.
For me right now is a perfect time to build up even more stacks I've wanted months ago and figured it would be too hard at those high amounts. I can now almost get 3 cubs for the cost of what it was 3 months ago. The possibility of it going up is far higher at these prices than it was at $0.60.
The MC range is $2M-$5M, so yeah I'd say at $2.5M the chance of up is pretty damn high... especially with a 60 day airdrop in play, potential IDOs, and the new bonding protocol and metronome yield allocations. Does the hype make things anti-climatic? Maybe... but then again we could just trade around this and make even more money knowing that these things won't be launched for months while everyone else is being told it's right around the corner.
I see a lot of potential here, but it sure ain't easy for the leo team. Kudos to them for trying!
I really just thought there were updates I had missed but apparently, I haven't missed anything. I've made a conscious effort to ignore CUB over the last couple of weeks coz I kinda expected more.
I completely understand the pressure they're going through so rather than let myself bother about what's happening and what's not happening I've decided to ignore and maybe get some more when I can. It's not a short term project and from my research, they didn't build it to be a short term project so slow and steady, it is.
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Just wondering, I am still a bit confused about pCUB and what type of deflationary stuff it will have. All I know is that you will lock up your tokens and get something in return for it.
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Indeed Sir. And yes, Cat wishes he had much more LP'd than Cub kingdom. Been way overweight kingdom since day one.
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Yeah I feel silly as well.
If I had just put everything into CUB/BUSD from day one and compounded this whole time I would be up a ton.
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Its under 100% inflation now :)
One of my goals is actually to accumulate more CUB this year. This was before the recent crash, but I still don't know if CUB is the way to go. After reading your article, my original plan was just to leave it in the kingdom, but now I'm not too sure. I also don't know if I should increase the allocation even more. As usual, your articles have gotten me thinking.
You tell me that. :)
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degens strong together!!!
Here comes my double boom. Because this post deserve it.
......................
Read how this all have started with Toruk
Same here, irrespective of the lingering decline in CUB price, I still have faith in the project to soar.
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This may seem a lot to many people but it is actually the same faith every other BSC farm token has been met with. I would put the blame on the "DeFi 1.0" model that doesn't really give any utility to the farm token. When you think about it, what purpose does the CUB token serve other than being a vehicle for future airdrops that are coming soon?
Yes, you can use it in the upcoming IDOs but if CakePop is a reference I'm not that stoked about them tbh. The reality of the situation is that whales and mid-range farmers have been taking profits this whole time. As long as the supply keeps increasing there is no reason to believe the price will go up other than for speculative reasons.
PolyCub on the other hand is something I am excited about but seeing how OHM, Klima and Time have flopped during panic times, even asset-backed tokens aren't resilient in bear conditions. If you look at their numbers a 98% loss in token value is great considering Cub has no backing whatsoever.
Until we see sustainable revenue models that share profits with token holders we can't expect people to invest in them anytime soon imo.
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CUB can become with future development really juicy.
Hodl CUB since day one, will keep them till moon :D
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Hmm so
there is nothing that we can do.
just to looking what happens next... 👂
Cub token is low Even almost all the coin in the market now are low.
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It's still so hard for me to understand all this...!!!! AHHHHHH. I'm reding tho and eventually I'l lget it. Thanks for this article
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If I paddle the pCUB wave and buy super cheap and sell expensive for me that's fine, I know the price of pCUB will go down and there I will buy again for holding.
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Okay forgive me (yes Google exists fck y’all) - but what is CUB? A fork? An airdrop? ETH-based? What’s happening in March? So many questions.
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https://cubdefi.com/farms
It's a DEFI platform on BSC created by the LEO dev team.
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This is exactly what I did by betting everything on CUB Kingdom. I'm very happy about the decisions I made. I have a great deal of faith in the future of CUB: https://leofinance.io/@vimukthi/cubfinance-has-better-marketcap-tvl-ratio-than-uniswap-2-9x-better-pancakeswap-1-8x-better-olympus-dao-12-1x-better-loosing-my
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Keep faith in CUB, might result in something good🥂.
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